Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.656598 0.816656 0.987593 1.181896 1.394933 1.619892 1.873947
2025-02-23 0.422030 0.637413 0.888663 1.194463 1.548935 1.940479 2.399755
2025-03-02 0.272248 0.496485 0.779537 1.143113 1.581705 2.080893 2.680523
2025-03-09 0.163616 0.378734 0.676204 1.079975 1.585748 2.176957 2.901663
2025-03-16 0.099002 0.301382 0.608865 1.047723 1.615189 2.292847 3.136631
2025-03-23 0.066873 0.264424 0.589713 1.072114 1.710249 2.483606 3.456716
2025-03-30 0.039839 0.224337 0.558686 1.075220 1.774424 2.634096 3.726751
2025-04-06 0.018321 0.180495 0.513730 1.053320 1.802185 2.736929 3.937319
2025-04-13 0.011117 0.168818 0.519461 1.102336 1.922086 2.953348 4.284664
2025-04-20 0.006111 0.158590 0.525701 1.150939 2.040775 3.167938 4.629727
2025-04-27 0.003172 0.152258 0.537704 1.207463 2.169799 3.395458 4.990696
2025-05-04 0.002364 0.157800 0.572302 1.298527 2.346036 3.683094 5.425815
2025-05-11 0.000629 0.149646 0.582082 1.356052 2.483398 3.930274 5.822876
2025-05-18 NaN 0.130258 0.566774 1.374149 2.567421 4.111269 6.141214
2025-05-25 NaN 0.094407 0.507617 1.317530 2.544040 4.151778 6.283366
2025-06-01 NaN 0.062669 0.445546 1.249685 2.500601 4.163369 6.387173
2025-06-08 NaN 0.043377 0.405882 1.214709 2.500648 4.228820 6.555678
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036905 0.401789 1.241119 2.589535 4.411003 6.871118
2025-06-22 NaN 0.028110 0.385737 1.244471 2.643643 4.546642 7.127451
2025-06-29 NaN 0.017854 0.356451 1.220785 2.656040 4.625773 7.311417
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016974 0.367680 1.273777 2.783788 4.859601 7.692687
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016109 0.378633 1.326241 2.910851 5.092696 8.073295
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016078 0.393892 1.387160 3.050911 5.343509 8.476838